Professor Myles Allen

Professor of Geosystem Science

Fellow of Linacre College, Oxford

Leader of ECI Climate Research Programme

Head of the Climate Dynamics Group, Department of Physics, Oxford

 

PA: Heather Waller - Mon, Thurs, & Fri (am)

Tel: +44 (0)1865 285716

Email: heather.waller@ouce.ox.ac.uk

Academic Profile

Myles Allen is Professor of Geosystem Science in the School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, and Head of the Climate Dynamics Group in the University's Department of Physics. His research focuses on how human and natural influences on climate contribute to observed climate change and risks of extreme weather and in quantifying their implications for long-range climate forecasts.

Myles has served on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change as lead author on Detection of Climate Change and Attribution of Causes for the 3rd Assessment in 2001 and as review editor on Global Climate Projections for the 4th Assessment in 2007.

He proposed the use of Probabilistic Event Attribution to quantify the contribution of human and other external influences on climate to specific individual weather events and leads the www.climateprediction.net project, using distributed computing to run the world's largest ensemble climate modelling experiments.

Current Research

  • Group Leader, Climate Dynamics Group, Department of Physics, University of Oxford. Responsible for climate modelling and attribution, comprising on average 4 post-docs and 5 doctoral students over the past three years.
  • Principal Investigator, www.climateprediction.net - distributed computing for global climate research, collaborative project (2000 present, overall budget c. £4m), performing large-scale Monte Carlo simulation of climate change 1900 - 2100 using idle CPU on personal computers volunteered by the general public.
  • Co-Director, Oxford Martin Programme on Resource Stewardship
  • Lead Author, Detection of Climate Change and Attribution of Causes, Chapter 12 of the IPCC WG1 Third Assessment. Review Editor, Global Climate Projections Chapter 10 of the IPCC WG1 Fourth Assessment. Lead author, Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional;, Chapter 10 of the IPCC WG1 Fifth Assessment.
  • Member of the US NOAA/Dept of Energy International Advisory Group on the Detection and Attribution of Anthropogenic Climate Change.

Selected Publications

Allen, M. and William J. Ingram, . (2002) Nature, 419, pp. 224–230.
15682 - Constraints on future changes in climate and the h...
Tett, S., Jones, G., Stott, P., Hill, D., Mitchell, J., Allen, M., Ingram, W., Johns, T., Johnson, C., Jones, A., Roberts, D., Sexton, D. and Woodage, M. (2002) Journal of Geophysical Research, 107(D16), pp. acl 10–1.
6899 - Estimation of natural and anthropogenic contributi...
Gillett, N., Allen, M. and Williams, K. (2002) Geophysical Research Letters, 29(10), pp. 138–1.
17933 - The role of stratospheric resolution in simulating...
Gillett, N., Allen, M., McDonald, R., Senior, C., Shindell, D. and Schmidt, G. (2002) Journal of Geophysical Research, 107(D3), pp. acl 1–1.
21267 - How linear is the Arctic Oscillation response to g...
Forest, C., Stone, P., Sokolov, A., Allen, M. and Webster, M. (2002) Science (New York, N.Y.), 295(5552), pp. 113–117.
8499 - Quantifying uncertainties in climate system proper...
Gillett, N., Hegerl, G., Allen, M., Stott, P. and Schnur, R. (2002) JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 15(3), pp. 326–329.
3714 - Reconciling two approaches to the detection of ant...
Forest, C., Allen, M., Sokolov, A. and Stone, P. (2001) Climate Dynamics, 18(3-4), pp. 277–295.
21427 - Constraining climate model properties using optima...
HANNACHI, A. and ALLEN, M. (2001) Tellus A Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 53(4), pp. 469–480.
30456 - Identifying signals from intermittent low?frequenc...
Benestad, R., Sutton, R., Allen, M. and Anderson, D. (2001) Geophysical Research Letters, 28(10), pp. 2041–2044.
9747 - The influence of subseasonal wind variability on t...
Gillett, N., Baldwin, M. and Allen, M. (2001) Journal of Geophysical Research, 106(D8), pp. 7891–7901.
14151 - Evidence for nonlinearity in observed stratospheri...