Professor Myles Allen

Professor of Geosystem Science

Fellow of Linacre College, Oxford

Leader of ECI Climate Research Programme

Head of the Climate Dynamics Group, Department of Physics, Oxford


PA: Heather Waller - Mon, Thurs, & Fri (am)

Tel: +44 (0)1865 285716


Academic Profile

Myles Allen is Professor of Geosystem Science in the School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, and Head of the Climate Dynamics Group in the University's Department of Physics. His research focuses on how human and natural influences on climate contribute to observed climate change and risks of extreme weather and in quantifying their implications for long-range climate forecasts.

Myles has served on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change as lead author on Detection of Climate Change and Attribution of Causes for the 3rd Assessment in 2001 and as review editor on Global Climate Projections for the 4th Assessment in 2007.

He proposed the use of Probabilistic Event Attribution to quantify the contribution of human and other external influences on climate to specific individual weather events and leads the project, using distributed computing to run the world's largest ensemble climate modelling experiments.

Current Research

  • Group Leader, Climate Dynamics Group, Department of Physics, University of Oxford. Responsible for climate modelling and attribution, comprising on average 4 post-docs and 5 doctoral students over the past three years.
  • Principal Investigator, - distributed computing for global climate research, collaborative project (2000 present, overall budget c. £4m), performing large-scale Monte Carlo simulation of climate change 1900 - 2100 using idle CPU on personal computers volunteered by the general public.
  • Co-Director, Oxford Martin Programme on Resource Stewardship
  • Lead Author, Detection of Climate Change and Attribution of Causes, Chapter 12 of the IPCC WG1 Third Assessment. Review Editor, Global Climate Projections Chapter 10 of the IPCC WG1 Fourth Assessment. Lead author, Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional;, Chapter 10 of the IPCC WG1 Fifth Assessment.
  • Member of the US NOAA/Dept of Energy International Advisory Group on the Detection and Attribution of Anthropogenic Climate Change.

Selected Publications

Klower, M., Hopkins, D., Allen, M. and Higham, J. (2020) Nature, 583, pp. 356–360.
1118574 - An analysis of ways to decarbonize conference trav...
Rimi, R., Haustein, K., Barbour, E., Sparrow, S., Li, S., Wallom, D. and Allen, M. (2020) EGU General Assembly 2020 [Preprint].
1093431 - A multi-model assessment of the changing risks of ...
Sparrow, S., Millar, R., Yamazaki, K., Massey, N., Povey, A., Bowery, A., Grainger, R., Wallom, D. and Allen, M. (2018) Journal of Climate [Preprint], (12).
829460 - Finding Ocean States That Are Consistent with Obse...
Allen, M., Shine, K., Fuglestvedt, J., Millar, R., Cain, M., Frame, D. and Macey, A. (2018) npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 1.
858142 - A solution to the misrepresentations of CO2-equiva...
Baker, H., Millar, R., Allen, ., Karoly, D., Beyerle, U., Guillod, B., Mitchell, D., Shiogama, H., Sparrow, S., Woollings, T. and Allen, M. (2018) Nature Climate Change, 8, pp. 604–608.
847730 - Higher CO2 concentrations increase extreme event r...
Seneviratne, S., Rogelj, J., Séférian, R., Wartenburger, R., Allen, M., Cain, M., Millar, R., Ebi, K., Ellis, N., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Payne, A., Schleussner, C.-F., Tschakert, P. and Warren, R. (2018) Nature, 558(7708), pp. 41–49.
857281 - The many possible climates from the Paris Agreemen...
Millar, R., Fuglestvedt, J., Friedlingstein, P., Rogelj, J., Grubb, M., Matthews, H., Skeie, R., Forster, P., Frame, D. and Allen, M. (2018) Nature Geoscience, 11(6), pp. 454–455.
853731 - Author Correction: Emission budgets and pathways c...
Mitchell, D., Allen, M., Hall, J., Muller, B., Rajamani, L. and Le Quéré, C. (2018) Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 376(2119).
834068 - The myriad challenges of the Paris Agreement.
Pretis, F., Schwarz, M., Tang, K., Haustein, K. and Allen, M. (2018) Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 376(2119), p. 20160460.
831212 - Uncertain impacts on economic growth when stabiliz...
Millar, R., Hepburn, C., Beddington, J. and Allen, M. (2018) Nature Climate Change, 8, pp. 2–4.
820380 - Principles to guide investment towards a stable cl...