Estelle Paulus

Resilient Doughnuts: Building Systemic Resilience within the Global Food System

Estelle Paulus is a PhD student at the Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, where she researches food systems and their resilience through the lens of complexity and systems theories. Her work includes evaluating models for their ability to capture the systemic resilience of global food systems, as well as modelling risk within complex systems. Beside her work on food systems, she has contributed to the work on nature risks to the financial system, which was published in collaboration with the Bank of England. More recently, she has been invited to ESSEC Business School as a Junior Visiting Fellow exploring the relationship between foundations and food. Estelle holds a Master’s degree in Mathematical and Theoretical Physics from the University of Oxford and a Bachelor’s degree in Physics from Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz.

• Ranger, N., Alvarez J., Freeman, A., Harwood, T., Obersteiner, M., Paulus, E. and Sabuco, J. (2023) The Green Scorpion: the Macro-Criticality of Nature for Finance – Foundations for scenario-based analysis of complex and cascading physical nature-related risks. Oxford: Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford
• Paulus, E, Obersteiner, M. and Ranger, N. (June, 2024) Getting into the Doughnut - A Framework for Assessing Systemic Resilience in the Global Food System