Alexandros Mitsis

Forecasting Cost and Diffusion Trajectories of Transport Decarbonisation Technologies

Alexandros Mitsis is a DPhil student at the School of Geography and the Environment and a member of the Complexity Economics group at the Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET), University of Oxford. He is supervised by Dr François Lafond and Professor J. Doyne Farmer.

His research focuses on technological change and the transition towards low-carbon systems, with a particular interest in understanding and forecasting the evolution, costs, and diffusion of emerging technologies. His work draws on complexity economics, empirical modelling, and data-driven approaches to investigate how technological progress, increasing adoption, and economic dynamics interact to shape long-term technological transitions.

A central aspect of his research involves examining the relationship between technological learning, cost reductions, and diffusion dynamics, with applications in mobility, energy, and other decarbonisation technologies. By combining empirical evidence with computational modelling, his work aims to improve our understanding of technological transitions and contribute to more informed long-term forecasting and policy decisions.

Before joining Oxford, Alexandros completed an MSc in Finance at the Athens University of Economics and Business, as well as an MBA and a BA in Business Administration at the National and Kapodistrian University of Athens.

Research interests

• Complexity economics and technological change
• Technological learning and cost forecasting
• Technology diffusion and adoption dynamics
• Decarbonisation and energy transitions
• Mobility and emerging low-carbon technologies
• Empirical and computational modelling