Academic Profile

Mark New is a Distinguished Visiting Research Associate at the School of Geography and Environment, Oxford. Prior to this he held a joint appointment as Professor of Climate Science at the School and Director of the African Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town. His research focuses on climate change detection, processes, scenarios, impacts and adaptation.

Current Research

In his research on climate change monitoring and detection he has worked on the development of global and regional climate datasets which have underpinned climate impacts assessments and integrated modelling, the detection of climate extremes, and issues around uncertainty and accuracy of climate data.

Trends in the number of dry days over Southern Africa

Trends in the number of dry days over Southern Africa

Cloud trends and dynamics in Andean cloud forests

Cloud trends and dynamics in Andean cloud forests

His work on climate change scenarios includes the UNDP climate change profiles which provide a consistent set of climate scenarios for over fifty developing countries, and scenarios for islands of the Caribbean as part of the CARIBSAVE project; a key interest with regard to scenarios has been approaches to represent uncertainty in future climate.

Observed and future temperature trends for Ghana, from the UNDP country profile

Observed and future temperature trends for Ghana, from the UNDP country profile

His research on impacts and adaptation has addressed broader adaptation policy issues around high-end climate change and dangerous climate impacts, approaches to adaptation decision making under uncertainty. Much of this work has been applied through the lens of water resource planning, such as in the EPSRC project he leads, ARCC-Water - Adaptive and Resilient Water Systems.

Analysis approach in the ARCC-Water project

Analysis approach in the ARCC-Water project

Selected Research Projects

  • Adaptive and Resilient Water Systems (ARCC-Water)
    In collaboration with Dr Fai Fung; Dr Steven Wade, Mr Chris Counsell and Mr Yannick Cesses, HR Wallingford; and Dr Will Medd, Dr Alison Browne and Prof. Elizabeth Shove, Lancaster University; Dr Suraje Dessai and Miss Lan Hoang, Exeter University; Dr Julien Harou and Mr Evgenii Matrosov, UCL; Prof. Rob Wilby, Miss Joanne Parker, Loughborough Universit ; Financial support from EPSRC; DPhil Students: Muhammad Rahiz; (2009-2012)
  • Cloud mechanisms and dynamics in the Andes
    Financial support from NERC; (2007-2010)
  • Tropical Biomes in Transition, TROBIT
    In collaboration with Professor Yadvinder Malhi; Financial support from NERC; (2006-2010)
  • Developing County Level Climate Profiles
    In collaboration with Dr Carol McSweeney; Financial support from National Communications Support Programme (NCSP), UN Development Programme; (2008-2009)
  • Modelling Climate-Ecosystem Dynamics in the Andes
    In collaboration with Professor Yadvinder Malhi; Dr Toby Marthews; Financial support from Microsoft Research Ltd and Fell Fund; DPhil Students: Kate Halladay; (2007-2009)
  • Tyndall Centre Program 1: Informing Climate Policy
    Financial support from UK Research Councils; (2006-2009)
  • A framework for probabilistic climate change impacts assessment and policy decision-making
    Financial support from Environment Agency and Tyndall Centre; (2006-2009)
  • ENSEMBLES: Ensemble-based predictions of climate change and its impacts
    Financial support from European Union Framework Programme 6; (2004-2009)
  • Diversity-climate relationships in Amazonia
    Financial support from NERC Tied Studentship; DPhil Students: Nathalie Butt; (2004-2007)
  • Quantification of uncertainty in regional and local climate change
    Financial support from NERC and Daphne Jackson Trust; (2004-2006)
  • High resolution probabilistic climate change impact prediction using GRID and DataGRID Technologies
    Financial support from NERC eScience Studentship; (2003-2006)


Recent Graduate Research Students (since 2006)

Jagadishwor Karmacharya
Completed DPhil in 2015

Climate processes over the Himalayas: added value from high resolution regional climate modelling

Kathryn Clark
Completed DPhil in 2014

The role of landslides in the Peruvian Andes in determining forest ecology and carbon transport

Muhammad Rahiz
Completed DPhil in 2013

Droughts in future climate change in the United Kingdom

Kate Halladay
Completed DPhil in 2012

Climate and Andean montane forests: the role of clouds

Natasha Kuruppu
Completed DPhil in 2010

Confronting climate change and variability: enhancing adaptive capacity of water resource management in Kirabaii

David Stainforth
Completed DPhil in 2010

Uncertainty and confidence in predictions of climate change

Nathalie Butt
Completed DPhil in 2009

Tropical climatology and biodiversity.

Nynke Hofstra
Completed DPhil in 2009

Changes in daily climate and runoff trends in Europe.

Katja Lehmann
Completed DPhil in 2009

Seasonal and diurnal hydrological patterns along a Cloud Forest gradient in the Peruvian Andes.

Gillian Kay
Completed DPhil in 2008

Mechanisms of southern African rainfall variability in coupled climate models.

Selected Publications

Publications are those that were listed on the old website. Publications database integration forthcoming.

Publications are available to view at