Informing Theory

Results from the first two project components will be used to explore the robustness of indicators of vulnerability and adaptive capacity being developed in Tyndall Project 1.11 and theoretical developments in Justice and Equity in Adaptation Strategic Assessment by CSERGE (Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment):

• Do quantitative socio-economic indicators of vulnerability appropriately capture the levels of vulnerability identified at the community level and how are they used in processes of adaptation decision-making? This includes information on decision-making rationales, handling of uncertainties, choices of adaptation types and timing, conditions that stimulate or dampen adaptation and the consequence or performance of adaptation strategies. The capacity to adapt varies markedly by region, country and socio-economic group, and over time.
• Do theoretical proxies of social capital represent the complexities of the dimensions of social capital on the ground? A key policy-relevant issue here is the role of the state in facilitating adaptation by enabling the evolution of social capital, and to what extent 'policy vacuums' enhance the capacity for autonomous adaptation to climate risks. Is social capital an appropriate indicator of vulnerability and adaptive capacity?
• To what extent can society rely on autonomous, private or market adaptation to reduce the cost of climate change impacts? The proposed strategic assessment aims to develop criteria for assessing adaptation interventions. The involvement of Oxfam ensures heightened policy and stakeholder relevance.